Oil rises as OPEC looks to deepen, extend supply cuts

Oil prices rose on Tuesday after OPEC’s de facto leader, Saudi Arabia, said it would increase supply curbs in June. Meanwhile, other members of the oil-producing group said they want to extend the deep cuts reached in April for a longer period than originally agreed.

OPEC and its allies, a group known as OPEC+, decided in April to cut output by 9.7 million barrels per day (bpd) for May and June in response to the 30 percent worldwide drop in fuel demand caused by the coronavirus pandemic. The group was expected to curtail that reduction to eight million bpd, but sources told Reuters they instead expect OPEC to maintain the larger reduction.

United States West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures settled at $25.78 a barrel, up $1.64, or 6.8 percent. Brent crude futures settled at $29.98 a barrel, gaining 35 cents, or 1.2 percent.

On Tuesday, four sources told Reuters that OPEC and its allies want to maintain the 9.7 million bpd cut beyond June, when the OPEC group is next due to meet.

“They don’t want to reduce the size of the cuts,” one OPEC source told Reuters.

Saudi Arabia said on Monday that it would add to existing cuts by reducing output another one million bpd next month, slashing total production to 7.5 million bpd, down nearly 40 percent from April.

The United Arab Emirates and Kuwait also committed to slashing an extra 180,000 bpd in total, adding to reductions the producers agreed to under a deal between OPEC and its allies.

“The idea that the Saudis and Kuwaitis and the UAE said that they’re going to enact deeper cuts than they initially agreed upon is helping the market find support,” said Gene McGillian, vice president of market research at Tradition Energy in Stamford, Connecticut.

Kazakhstan has ordered producers in large and mid-sized oil fields to cut output by about 22 percent in May to June, while output from Russia’s top oil region in western Siberia is expected to fall by 15 percent this year, in line with the OPEC deal.

The US Energy Information Administration said it expects worldwide demand for oil to drop by 8.1 million bpd to 92.6 million bpd, a sharp revision from its previous report. It also cut its expectations for US supply in 2020, now seeing a drop of 540,000 bpd to 11.69 million bpd, and said total world supply would be 95.2 million bpd.

US crude producing states have logged output cuts, as collapsing prices prompted independent and integrated producers to reduce operations. US crude futures have lost roughly 60 percent so far this year.

US crude oil inventories rose last week while petrol stocks fell, data from industry group the American Petroleum Institute showed.

Crude inventories rose by 7.6 million barrels to 526.2 million barrels, API said, a build that exceeded analysts’ expectations for 4.1 million barrels. Petrol stocks fell by 1.9 million barrels, a draw that was shy of the 2.2 million barrels analysts had predicted.

US Energy Information Administration storage data is due on Wednesday.