Kashef, our artificial intelligence (AI) robot, has been crunching the numbers to predict the results of each game, all the way to the finals.
For today’s matches, Kashef has analysed more than 200 metrics including the number of wins, goals scored, FIFA rankings and more, from matches played over the past century.
Scroll through the matches below to see Kashef's predictions for all upcoming games.
Meet Kashef - our AI prediction robot
Kashef's pre-match prediction
Al Jazeera collected more than 200 metrics measuring the performance history of the 32 teams competing at this year’s World Cup.
These include number of wins, goals scored, FIFA rankings and more, from matches played over the past century, totalling over 100,000 records.
We ran these through Google Cloud's Vertex AI, which produces state-of-the-art models - adopting Google Brain - that use Efficient Neural Architecture Search (ENAS) to find the best prediction model. The data pipeline is built with GCP-BigQuery.
After every match, the model will be rerun to predict the outcome of the next game all the way through to the final.
Predicting match results isn't easy. External factors like team morale or player fitness make a big difference to how the game goes.
Based on our simulations for the 2014 and 2018 World Cup tournaments, Kashef is about 71 percent accurate, with an area under the curve (AUC) of some 67 percent.
Sixteen of the 32 teams have now entered the round of 16 – the first of the knock-out phases of the tournament.
The knock-out table below shows Kashef’s latest prediction of who will win the World Cup.
With 56 matches completed, Kashef has a 68 percent accuracy level. Every night at 00:00 GMT Kashef reruns the predictions based on the day’s results.
Predicting match results is no easy task. External factors like team morale or player fitness make a big difference in how the game goes.
See if you can outsmart Kashef and predict today’s winners by playing our AI game here.
Who do you think is going to win the World Cup? Kashef, our AI robot, has been crunching the numbers to predict the results of each game, all the way to the finals.
Can you outguess Kashef?
Play our predictor game below.
Did your team make it to Qatar this year? Select them from the drop-down menu to see how they’ve done over the history of the World Cup, from 1930 to 2018.
Pick two teams to see how they compare across all international football matches over the past 100 years.
(Match result after normal time)
The interactive visualisation below shows the results of every football match played between the 32 competing teams over the past 100 years.
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