Buttigieg holds narrow lead over Sanders in Iowa: partial results

Ex-South Bend, Indiana mayor holds narrow lead with 86 percent of precincts reporting after chaotic caucuses.

Former South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg held a narrow lead over Senator Bernie Sanders as the long-delayed results of a chaotic Iowa caucus continued to trickle in on Wednesday.

With about 86 percent of the precincts reporting, Buttigieg was leading the state delegate chase with 26.7 percent, while Sanders had 25.4 percent, Senator Elizabeth Warren had 18.3 percent and former Vice President Joe Biden had 15.9 percent.

The partial results come after confusion and frustration over delays in announcing the Monday’s caucus tallies due to a “coding issue” in an app that precincts used to report the data.

It was unclear when the final vote will be announced.

While campaigns were eager to spin the results to their advantage, there was little immediate indication that the incomplete results eased the confusion and concern that loomed over the opening contest of the Democrats 2020 presidential primary season.

During a private conference call with campaigns on Tuesday, state party chairman Troy Price declined to answer pointed questions about the specific timeline – even whether it would be a matter of days or weeks.

“We have been working data and night to make sure these results are accurate,” Price said at a subsequent news conference.

Bernie Sanders
Democratic presidential candidate Senator Bernie Sanders speaking to supporters at his rally in Des Moines, Iowa, US [Carlo Allegri/Reuters]

The leading candidates pressed on in next-up New Hampshire, which votes in just six days, as billionaire Democrat Michael Bloomberg sensed an opportunity, vowing to double his already enormous advertising campaign and expand his sprawling staff focused on a series of delegate-rich states voting next month.

The party’s caucus crisis was an embarrassing twist after months of promoting the contest as a chance for Democrats to find some clarity in a jumbled field with no clear frontrunner. Instead, after a buildup that featured seven rounds of debates, nearly one billion dollars spent nationwide and a year of political jockeying, caucus day ended with no winner, no official results and many fresh questions about whether Iowa can retain its coveted “first” status.

Iowa marked the first contest in a primary season that will span all 50 states and several US territories, ending at the party’s national convention in mid-July.

‘Beginning of end of Trump’

Campaigning in New Hampshire on Tuesday, Warren said she was “feeling good” about her performance in Iowa but questioned the state party’s plans to release partial results.

“I just don’t understand what that means, at least half of the data. I think they ought to get it together and release all the data,” she said.

The Sanders campaign told supporters that its internal monitoring showed him in the lead with nearly half the vote in. Sanders himself said late Monday: “Today marks the beginning of the end for Donald Trump.”

Buttigieg, the former mayor of South Bend, Indiana, essentially declared an Iowa victory.

“So, we don’t know all the results, but we know by the time it’s all said and done, Iowa, you have shocked the nation,” he said before leaving Iowa. “By all indications, we are going on to New Hampshire victorious.”

Iowa caucus
Democratic 2020 US presidential candidate and US Senator Elizabeth Warren speaks at a caucus night rally in Des Moines, Iowa [Rick Wilking/Reuters]

Biden said he was “feeling good” and predicted the results would be close.

The party told campaigns Tuesday that the problem was a result of a “coding issue in the reporting system” that it said had since been fixed. It said it had verified the accuracy of the collected data and said the problem was not a result of “a hack or an intrusion”.

A Biden campaign representative objected to the party’s plan to release partial results before checking them against paper records, saying in the conference call that the plan did not address “growing reports” about problems on caucus night, such as precinct captains unable to get through on the phone to report results.

“The stories and the problems are just multiplying, so presumably you’re going to have some way of addressing that and explaining to us as you release these partial results why you’re comfortable,” Biden campaign lawyer Dana Remus said.

“You need to have enough transparency that other people feel comfortable about it now and we’re just not there right now.”

Sanders adviser Jeff Weaver thanked party officials and encouraged other campaigns not to undermine the party.

“Folks who are just trying to delay the return of this because of their relative positioning in the results last night, I think that’s a bit disingenuous,” Weaver said.

Joe Biden
Democratic presidential candidate former Vice President Joe Biden and wife Jill Biden at a caucus night campaign rally in Des Moines, Iowa [John Locher/AP Photo]

For the first time, the Iowa Democratic Party reported three sets of results: a tally of caucusgoers’ initial candidate preference; vote totals from the “final alignment” after supporters of lower-ranking candidates were able to make a second choice and the total number of state delegate equivalents each candidate received.

Early polling had suggested Sanders entered the night with a narrow lead, but any of the top four candidates – Sanders, Biden, Warren and Buttigieg – was positioned to score a victory. Senator Amy Klobuchar, who represents neighbouring Minnesota, was also in the running, while outsider candidates including entrepreneur Andrew Yang, billionaire activist Tom Steyer and US Representative Tulsi Gabbard lagged behind.

Sensing opportunity amid the chaos, Bloomberg’s campaign announced plans to double its national television advertising spending – which has already exceeded $100m – as it expands its paid staff to more than 2,000 people.

Bloomberg is looking to next month, having decided to bypass Iowa’s contest and the three other states voting this month in favour of the delegate-rich states in March.

“After more than a year of this primary, the field is as unsettled as ever,” Bloomberg spokeswoman Sabrina Singh said. “No one has made the sale or even come close to it. Meanwhile, Mike is taking the fight to Trump every day, doubling down on the national campaign strategy we’ve been running from the beginning.”

Iowa caucus
Democratic US presidential candidate Senator Amy Klobuchar speaks at her rally following the Iowa Caucus in Des Moines, Iowa [Brenna Norman/Reuters]

Beyond 2020, the debacle invited fresh criticism about Iowa caucuses, a complicated set of political meetings staged in a state that is whiter and older than the Democratic Party. Many used the moment to question whether it was a quaint political tradition whose time had passed.

The party has tried to accommodate critics before, this year by promising to report three different data points about voters’ preferences, presumably improving transparency. But the new system created new headaches.

“I think Iowa is a dumpster fire,” said Dick Harpootlian, a South Carolina state senator and longtime Biden supporter, who served as an Iowa precinct captain for Biden on Monday.

Source: Al Jazeera, News Agencies