Russia admits COVID death toll third-worst in the world

Excess deaths data for 2020 suggests toll three times higher than officially reported, behind only US and Brazil.

Russia has admitted its death toll from COVID-19 is far higher than official data suggests [File: Alexey Malgavko/Reuters]

Russia on Monday said its coronavirus death toll was more than three times higher than it had previously reported, making it the country with the third-largest number of fatalities in the world.

For months President Vladimir Putin has boasted about Russia’s low death rate from the virus, saying earlier this month that it had done a “better” job at managing the pandemic than western countries.

Experts, including medical professionals and data scientists, have questioned the official statistics for months, accusing the government of playing down the country’s outbreak.

On Monday, Russian officials admitted that was true.

The Rosstat statistics agency said that the number of deaths from all causes recorded between January and November had risen by 229,700 compared with the previous year.

“More than 81 percent of this increase in mortality over this period is due to COVID,” said Deputy Prime Minister Tatyana Golikova, meaning that some 186,000 Russians have died from COVID-19 during 2020.

The data also showed that more people died in Russia in November 2020 than in any other single month since such data began being collected 16 years ago, the Moscow News newspaper reported.

Musicians perform in front of a hospital to congratulate child patients on the upcoming New Year, in Moscow. The country is battling an escalating second wave of COVID-19 [Evgenia Novozhenina/Reuters]

Excess deaths – the difference between all registered deaths in 2020 and previous years – are seen as one of the most reliable indicators of the number of people who have died as a result of the pandemic.

While Russia has confirmed more than three million coronavirus cases since the start of the pandemic – the fourth-highest caseload in the world – it has reported only 55,265 deaths and has been criticised for only listing COVID-19 deaths where an autopsy has confirmed the virus as the main cause.

Alexei Raksha, a demographer who left Rosstat in July, told the AFP news agency last week that the Russian health ministry and the consumer health ministry had falsified coronavirus numbers.

Rosstat’s new figures mean that Russia now has the world’s third-highest death toll from COVID-19 after the United States, where 334,618 people have died, and Brazil, with deaths of 191,570, according to data from Johns Hopkins University.

‘Follow the rules’

Despite the country facing an escalating second wave of infections, the authorities have been reluctant to impose a nationwide lockdown for fear of inflicting further damage on an already struggling economy.

The government predicts the economy will shrink by 3.9 percent this year, while the Central Bank expects an even steeper decline.

During his annual year-end press conference earlier this month, Putin rejected the idea of imposing the kind of lockdown many European countries introduced going into the Christmas holidays.

“If we follow the rules and demands of health regulators, then we do not need any lockdowns,” he said.

While strict measures have been imposed in some big cities, authorities in many regions have limited restrictions to mask-wearing in public spaces and reducing mass gatherings.

A member of Russia’s armed forces receives the Sputnik V (Gam-COVID-Vac) vaccine against the coronavirus disease. The country is pinning its hopes on the vaccine to curb the pandemic [File: Sergey Pivovarov/Reuters]

But many Russians flout social-distancing rules and in recent weeks the country’s outbreak has overwhelmed poorly funded hospitals in the regions.

The country has pinned its hopes on ending the outbreak on vaccination, and a mass roll-out of its Sputnik V jab, named after the Soviet-era satellite.

The country launched the programme earlier this month, first inoculating high-risk workers aged between 18 and 60 without chronic illnesses.

Over the weekend people over the age of 60 got the green light to receive the shot.

On Monday Sputnik V’s developer, the state-run Gamaleya research centre said that approximately 700,000 doses had so far been released for domestic use.

However, Russia has not said how many people it has vaccinated so far and according to recent surveys by state-run pollster VTsIOM and the Levada Center polling agency only 38 percent of Russians plan to get the shot.

Source: AFP, Al Jazeera