|Signs of war?|
Al Jazeera’s Rob Reynolds looks at some signs that, while by no means conclusive, support the view that an attack on Iran may be imminent:
Iraq precedent. In aftermath of bungled Iraq occupation, senior US military figures who disagreed strongly with administration’s strategy deliberated resigning in protest. Fallon may be quitting after losing an internal battle to prevent a conflict.
Dispatch of US warships to Lebanon’s coast, including an Aegis guided missile destroyer which could provide cover for Israel if Iran responds to an attack by firing missiles at Israel.
Dick Cheney’s trip this weekend to the Middle East. The vice-president, the leading hawk in the White House on Iran, will visit Saudi Arabia, whose support would be needed before any strike could be contemplated, and Oman, a US key military ally and logistics hub strategically situated to control the vital Strait of Hormuz.
Shimon Peres, the Israeli president, said this month Israel would not act alone to stop Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons, a change in language that could signal that the White House has told Israel it is prepared to act in concert with it militarily.
He dismissed as “ridiculous” speculation that the resignation signalled a step towards war.
While some consider it unlikely that Bush, as a “lame duck” president with only 10 months left to his term, would undertake such a major military action as an attack on Iran, there is precedent from Bush’s own father.
In December 1992, after the former president had already lost his re-election battle to Bill Clinton, George Bush sent thousands of US troops to invade Somalia on a peacekeeping mission.
|The US has moved warships to the Lebanon
coast, including a missile destroyer [AFP]
And just days before leaving office, the former president ordered a strike on Baghdad with 40 cruise missiles striking targets linked to Iraqi weapons development, an example of how the US president can order military action at any time.
|‘Far too much talk of war’|
Excerpts from Admiral William Fallon’s interview to Al Jazeera in September 2007:
Al Jazeera: Is there a coming war on Iran?
Fallon: No, I certainly hope not. It is my belief that today, there is far too much talk of war and not enough talk about moving things forward in this region and taking care of the many needs of the people that I have seen through my visit here.
This constant drumbeat of conflict is one that strikes me as not helpful, not useful for the people, and I wish we could get moving to things that are more constructive for the region.
Al Jazeera: There are claims that you said “the war on Iran will not happen during my time”. Does this mean that it will happen after you leave?
Fallon: Well, first of all I did not say that. But as I indicated to you in my first answer, it is certainly my hope and expectation that there is no war and that is what we ought to be working for. We ought to find ways in which we can get countries to sit together for the benefit of everyone involved. So whether now or in the future, war is not a good idea.”
“Admiral Fallon is a true warrior who has served our country selflessly and honourably for more than 40 years,” Petraeus said in statement read by Major-General Kevin Bergner in Baghdad.