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Somalia in Transition

Somalia has a new constitution, parliament and president, raising hopes it will finally shed its “failed state” title.

A soldier listens to the evening news. Somali militiamen and the Kenyan military took control of Ras Kamboni town last year from al-Shabab.
By Roopa Gogineni
Published On 24 Sep 201224 Sep 2012

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In recent months, African Union, Kenyan, and Ethiopian troops, alongside a coalition of Somali militia, have “liberated” many major towns from the al-Shabab militia.

Al-Shabab has shown little resistance, strategically abandoning its former bases and training camps, and adopting guerrilla tactics in the face of larger and better-equipped armies. Though many towns have been cleared of the militants, the bush in between remains insecure. 

Mired by the death of key leaders, infighting, revenue losses, and fleeing of foreign fighters, there is no doubt that al-Shabab has weakened. Most fighters have retreated to the port city of Kismayo, the Islamists’ last bastion and financial centre.

But prophesying the end of the fighters underestimates their agility. Al-Shabab still wreaks havoc using land mines, car bombs, and improvised explosive devices.  

And the expulsion of the group from Kismayo could create a dangerous a power vacuum, testing the uneasy alliance between various Somali factions.

Places such as Ras Kamboni and Baidoa are microcosms of the largely unseen Somalia outside of Mogadishu. Observers say it is regions such as these that will test the transition from failed state to stable democracy.

Despite the hardship Somalis face outside Mogadishu, the disappearance of al-Shabab from cities and towns is a sign of hope after decades of despair. 


The port at Ras Kamboni receives boats from Kismayo, a port city still under the control of al-Shabab.
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A Ras Kamboni fighter retrieves water from a borehole. Residents of Ras Kamboni have dangerously little access to clean drinking water.
Ras Kamboni soldiers drink water at one of few boreholes in the area.
al-Shabab bans aid groups
A patient waits to be seen in the newly upgraded WHO clinic, which previously served as al-Shabab(***)s headquarters.
A patient rests after his operation. Before the clinic opened, those in need of medical care traveled to Kismayo, Mogadishu, or into Kenya for treatment.
Young boys play football in a stadium in Baidoa. Before the city was liberated in February, al-Shabab used to gather residents here to view public amputations.
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A Ras Kamboni Brigade soldier on patrol in the seaside town of Bur Gaabo. The pro-government militia, fighting alongside the Kenyan military, now approaches Kismayo from the south.
Somali soldiers walk past stacks of charcoal. The UN embargo on charcoal aimed to stifle one of al-Shabab(***)s main sources of revenue. The stockpile in Bur Gaabo is estimated to be worth several millions of dollars.
A UN embargo on charcoal exports from Somalia have left large stockpiles in Burgabo.


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