Israel’s spy master quit over failures to prevent October 7, but his exit is unlikely to change the course of the war.
Omar Ashour
Omar Ashour is Professor of Security and Military Studies and the Founder of the Security Studies Programmes in the Doha Institute for Graduate Studie... s (Qatar). He is Non-Resident Senior Fellow in Security and Defence Affairs at the Ilko Kucheriv Democratic Initiatives Foundation (Ukraine) and the University of Exeter (United Kingdom). He is the author of How ISIS Fights: Military Tactics in Iraq, Syria, Libya and Egypt (Open Access in English and in Ukrainian), The De-Radicalization of Jihadists and the editor of Bullets to Ballots: Collective De-Radicalisation of Armed Movements (Open Access in Ukrainian and in Arabic). His current research project focuses comparative combat effectiveness of small(er) states and nonstate forces and the Russian wars on Ukraine.
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The group’s objectives in using terrorism are not new, but its capacity for carrying out attacks is.
The lessons for Egypt are numerous and they will certainly affect the future of democratisation in that country.
Cairo’s security policies in Sinai remain immoral and ineffective – so far exacerbating the problem.
How will the conflicting “capitals of hell” impact Egypt’s security and political landscape? Probably not so positively.
For change to happen, the lessons of the past five years should be kept in mind for the future rounds.
The group’s strategy started to change after the Iranian and US air strikes began in 2014.
In Britain, one side perceives the Sisi regime as a capable government but the other is critical of the country.
Egyptian judges act on their own in terms of repressing whomever they perceive as status quo critics.
Two years after the bloody crackdown on the pro-Morsi protesters, Egypt is far from the democratic club.