Leonid Ragozin

Even if some Rus­sians blame their pres­i­dent for fail­ing to foil the at­tack, they have no oth­er se­cu­ri­ty guar­an­tor.

The Russ­ian pres­i­den­tial elec­tion out­come was ex­pect­ed and won’t change the Russ­ian sta­tus quo; the US elec­tion could.

The Russ­ian op­po­si­tion doesn’t have the ca­pac­i­ty to mo­bilise on the ground, but there is an al­ter­na­tive path.

The late Russ­ian op­po­si­tion politi­cian had a uni­fy­ing spir­it that threat­ened the ben­e­fi­cia­ries of con­flict.

His in­ter­view with Tuck­er Carl­son re­veals how he en­vi­sions ne­go­ti­a­tions and peace.

The po­lit­i­cal, mil­i­tary and eco­nom­ic col­lapse of Rus­sia many in the West had hoped for nev­er ma­te­ri­alised.

In fact, it may cause Rus­sians to ral­ly be­hind their pres­i­dent.

Amid prepa­ra­tions for a Russ­ian of­fen­sive and a Ukrain­ian coun­terof­fen­sive, var­i­ous sce­nar­ios for the war ap­pear like­ly.

Since 2014, the con­flict in Ukraine has been tight­ly linked to Putin’s fear of an op­po­si­tion-led chal­lenge to his rule.

Putin does not have much to lose from en­gag­ing in peace ne­go­ti­a­tions, but Ze­len­skyy does.