The Global South is not buying the Ukrainian claim to colonial victimhood.
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Brinkmanship in the war in Ukraine might be nearing its natural limits; this could pave the way for diplomacy.
Even if some Russians blame their president for failing to foil the attack, they have no other security guarantor.
The Russian presidential election outcome was expected and won’t change the Russian status quo; the US election could.
The Russian opposition doesn’t have the capacity to mobilise on the ground, but there is an alternative path.
The late Russian opposition politician had a unifying spirit that threatened the beneficiaries of conflict.
His interview with Tucker Carlson reveals how he envisions negotiations and peace.
The political, military and economic collapse of Russia many in the West had hoped for never materialised.
In fact, it may cause Russians to rally behind their president.
Amid preparations for a Russian offensive and a Ukrainian counteroffensive, various scenarios for the war appear likely.