Birol Baskan

If the Arabs ex­pect Turkey to bal­ance Iran, it is un­like­ly to hap­pen un­der cur­rent Turk­ish lead­er­ship.

The re­sult of Turkey’s vote is not in doubt but the par­lia­men­tary arith­metic holds cru­cial con­se­quences for the coun­try.

The forth­com­ing con­sti­tu­tion­al ref­er­en­dum will un­doubt­ed­ly be an­oth­er po­lit­i­cal lit­mus test for Turkey’s prime min­is­ter.