Crucial Tokyo test for Japan PM
Japanese prime minister faces municipal poll seen as precursor to national election.
Last Modified: 12 Jul 2009 05:48 GMT
Only a quarter of respondents in a national survey said they would vote for Aso's party [AFP]

Taro Aso, the Japanese prime minister, is set to face a crucial test of popularity in a Tokyo municipal election.

The poll on Sunday is seen as a precursor for a upcoming national vote, in which Aso's Liberal Democratic Party risks losing power after governing for the majority of the past 50 years.

Aso's party has lost four straight regional elections since April to the main opposition Democratic Party of Japan.

If the ruling party and its coalition partner, the New Komeito Party, finish poorly in Sunday's poll for the 127-seat Tokyo Metropolitan Assembly, pressure could further mount on Aso, whose approval ratings are at around 20 per cent.

"Voters know Aso lacks leadership," Yoshinobu Yamamoto, a political scientist at Aoyama Gakuin University in Tokyo, said.

"Like previous local polls, the opposition party is likely to win the Tokyo election."

The national election date is still to be announced.

'Tough battle'

Aso, who took office in September 2008, acknowledged on Friday the Tokyo poll would be "a tough battle".

But he rejected any link between Sunday's vote and the upcoming general election for the powerful lower house of parliament.

"The Tokyo election is a local poll. It is the judgment of various local issues by Tokyo residents," he said at a news conference in the Italian city of L'Aquila where the G8 summit was held.

"As I have repeatedly said, it [poll] is not directly linked to national politics. There is no change in terms of fulfilling my duties as the prime minister."

Opinion polls by Japanese newspapers show that the Democratic Party of Japan is well placed to make major gains or even rise to power in the national election, with opposition leader Yukio Hatoyama likely to replace Aso.

That would mean the end of rule by the Liberal Democratic Party, which has governed Japan for all of the past 50 years except a brief period in 1993.

The Liberal Democrats currently has 303 seats in the 480-seat lower house, and its partner Komeito has 31. The Democratic Party has just 112.

A nationwide survey by the Yomiuri newspaper, Japan's top-selling daily, showed on Friday that 41 per cent of respondents said they would vote for the opposition party in the national election, compared to just 24 per cent for Aso's party.

Nearly 46 percent of respondents said Hatoyama, 62, is fit for the prime minister, compared with 21 per cent favouring Aso.

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