Argentina to choose post-Fernandez path in primaries

Choice of candidate likely to impact whether outgoing President Cristina Fernandez's policies to aid poor will continue.

    The primary is set up for each party to choose its presidential candidate, but with voters free to cross party lines [EPA]
    The primary is set up for each party to choose its presidential candidate, but with voters free to cross party lines [EPA]

     

    Argentina is holding an open primary election that will gauge the country's appetite for change after eight years under the rule of outgoing President Cristina Fernandez.

    The election will reveal if the public supports the policies of Fernandez, who imposed heavy state control on the economy and spent generously on welfare during her time.

    The frontrunner ahead of the October 25 general election is Daniel Scioli, governor of Buenos Aires province and a member of Fernandez's party.


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    Running second is Mauricio Macri, the business-friendly mayor of the capital city who wants to do well enough in the October vote to force a November run-off.

    Both are former businessmen with more orthodox policies than Fernandez, whose high public spending has drained fiscal accounts and fuelled inflation while currency and trade controls slowed investment.

    Macri promises to quickly free up markets, while Scioli says "gradualism" is the best way to open the economy while preserving the strong social safety net weaved together by Fernandez since she first took power in 2007.

    The primary is set up for each party to choose its presidential candidate, but with voters free to cross party lines, Sunday's vote will be a dry run ahead of the October election.

    Market reaction

    Argentine share and bond prices will likely fall if Scioli comes out of Sunday's primary strong enough to win the presidency in October's first round.

    If Macri looks strong enough to force a run-off in November, markets are set to rise.

    To win outright in October, a candidate needs 45 percent of votes cast, or 40 percent with a 10-point spread over the second place candidate.

    Scioli needs close to 40 percent of the primary vote to have a chance of a first-round win.

    Macri has vowed to scrap currency controls and curbs on grain exports, and to negotiate an end to a US court battle with holders of non-paying sovereign bonds that has hobbled Argentina's finances by keeping it in default.

    Scioli has revealed few details of his programme, as he treads gingerly to lock in Fernandez's left-leaning base without alienating the wider electorate.

    Fernandez's policies have fuelled one of the world's highest inflation rates, but poor voters who have benefited from state largesse over the last eight years remain loyal to her.

    While barred from running for a third consecutive term in October, Fernandez could return as a presidential candidate in 2019.

    SOURCE: Agencies


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