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Southern Sudan Independence
Country Profile: Sudan
A look at the politics, economy and foreign relations of Sudan.
Last Modified: 02 Jul 2011 18:07

The largest country in Africa will lose roughly one-quarter of its area when Southern Sudan secedes from the north on July 9.

Sudan won independence from the British in 1956, and the country has been pulled apart by conflict almost ever since. A 17-year civil war ended in 1972 with the signing of the Addis Ababa Agreement, which collapsed within a decade, prompting the second civil war.

Violence has ebbed since the signing of the Comprehensive Peace Agreement in 2005, but several "disputed regions" along the north-south border remain sources of tension.

Sudan will face a number of other challenges after the south secedes. The ruling National Congress Party has a firm grip on power but is plagued by internal dissension. Omar al-Bashir, the Sudanese president, is wanted by the International Criminal Court on charges of genocide. And the economy, which grew at a rapid clip from 2006 to 2008, has slowed down; poverty is widespread, with at least 40 per cent of the country living below the official poverty line.

Politics

Bashir seized power in a bloodless coup in 1989, and hasn’t relinquished his grip since.

He was re-elected in elections in 1996, 2000 and 2010; international observers said all three ballots were marred by fraud and intimidation. His National Congress Party holds a strong majority in parliament as well.

Opposition parties, including the Democratic Unionist Party (DUP) and the National Islamic Front, have very limited roles in Sudanese politics. The DUP boycotted parliamentary elections in 2000, fearing they would be rigged, and won just 2 per cent of the vote in the 2010 ballot.

The ICC issued a warrant for Bashir in 2009 on charges of war crimes and crimes against a humanity; a separate warrant the following year added three counts of genocide. Bashir is the first sitting head of state indicted by the ICC and the first to be charged with genocide.

The Sudanese government has been shaped heavily over the last six years by the Comprehensive Peace Agreement, the 2005 deal aimed at ending the decades-long civil war. It required southern representation in the government in Khartoum, and established state-level power-sharing formulas between the NCP and the Sudan People’s Liberation Movement, the main party in the south.

Southern legislators will leave parliament after July 9, giving the NCP an overwhelming majority in the post-secession state.

Economy

Sudan posted double-digit growth rates from 2006 to 2008, largely thanks to oil production. GDP growth has slowed since the onset of the global financial crisis, but the economy still continues to grow between 4 and 5 per cent per year.

But those macroeconomic gains have not translated into widespread prosperity, particularly outside of Khartoum. The country’s per capita GDP is just $2,300, one of the lowest in the world; neighbouring Egypt, which lacks Sudan’s oil reserves, has a per capita GDP of more than $6,200.

The government in Khartoum, like the one in Juba, is heavily reliant on oil to finance its operations: Some 50 per cent of government revenues come from the petroleum sector.

Outside of the oil sector, agriculture accounts for most of Sudan's economic activity. Cotton and gum Arabic are the two main exports, while sorghum and wheat are staple crops produced for domestic consumption. Most agricultural production is concentrated in the fertile areas along the Nile River.

Sudan's limited industrial production is mostly concentrated around Khartoum.

The north's infrastructure is in much better shape than the south's. The main seaport, in Port Sudan, handles agricultural exports; it also houses an oil refinery and facilities for shipping oil to international markets.

Foreign Relations

Sudan and Southern Sudan will have diplomatic ties immediately after the latter becomes independent: Khartoum has promised to open an embassy in Juba, and the southern government has said that its first embassy will be in Khartoum.

Sudan’s biggest trading partner, and its most important international ally, is China. Nearly two-thirds of Sudan's oil is exported to China, and Beijing in turn invests heavily in Sudan - though much of its investment is aimed at exploiting Sudan's oil resources.

Bashir, whose travels are limited because of the ICC warrants, visited China last month; Beijing ignored the ICC’s calls to arrest him. He has also visited Egypt, Nigeria, Kenya and Djibouti since the warrants were issued; he canceled a 2009 visit to Turkey over fears he would be arrested.

Egypt is a key regional ally; it largely stayed out of the north-south dispute, advocating a "united Sudan" policy. A US diplomatic cable released last year by WikiLeaks revealed that Egyptian officials fear an independent Southern Sudan would reduce the water resources available to Egypt, the last country along the Nile's path to the Mediterranean Sea.

Relations with other neighbours have been more fraught: Khartoum has fought a low-intensity conflict with Chad since 2005, when the Chadian government accused Sudan of trying to overthrow it by supporting militias. Sudan, in turn, has accused Chad of equipping rebels in the Darfur region.

The United States imposed economic sanctions against Sudan in the 1990s over its alleged support for international terrorism. US president Barack Obama has suggested those sanctions could be lifted following January's successful referendum for southern independence.

Source:
Al Jazeera
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